From early estimates, it looks like The Hunger Games: Catching Fire will stay hot through this five day weekend, though Disney’s family animation film Frozen will give it a run for its money. Catching Fire is going to finish the five day weekend at around $ 100 million or slightly better, while Frozen will land in the $ 82 million range for the same period. Catching Fire landed at $ 23 million Wednesday while Frozen grossed $ 17 million after last week’s stellar one-theater debut at the El Capitan. That film got an A+ Cinemascore and strong reviews. Despite the formidable new entry, the weekend will be hard pressed to top last Thanksgiving, which had the final Twilight Saga and 007 film Skyfall as well as Lincoln, Life Of Pi and Wreck It Ralph. There isn’t as strong a group this year behind Catching Fire and Frozen, as some of these films are close to being played out.
I’m talking to you, Thor: The Dark World. That film hung on to third place with near $ 3 million for Wednesday night. In a surprise, Delivery Man is showing some staying power and could turn in a $ 10 million holiday haul to finish near $ 20 million. That would still make it a disappointment. After that comes the Jason Statham action film Homefront, another new opener which should finish near $ 7 million, based on a $ 1.4 million Wednesday evening. After that it’s Best Man’s Holiday, which finished Wednesday around $ 1.2 million and should get to $ 10.5 million; Free Birds, which grossed just under $ 1 million and projects to a $ 6.5 million weekend. Right after that is The Book Thief, which has opened wide to 1234 theaters and grossed $ 800,000 for Wednesday and will finish the weekend at $ 5.2 million. Finishing ninth will be Last Vegas, which grossed $ 600,000 for Wednesday and should do around $ 4.8 million. Rounding out the Top 10 is another new entry, the Forest Whitaker-directed Black Nativity, which did $ 500,000 Wednesday and should finish the holiday weekend near $ 3 million. Finishing out of the money is the Spike Lee-directed Oldboy, and maybe the image of Josh Brolin whacking people with a hammer isn’t necessarily what you want to see on Thanksgiving and Hanukkah. The original is one of the craziest, most depraved films I’ve seen, and there is a twist in there that leaves you reeling. Not sure we needed an encore. More when the numbers really begin rolling in.
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